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23 Apr 2014
RBA's first rate hike expected in Q4 2014 despite Aus CPI miss - HSBC
FXStreet (Bali) - According to Economists at HSBC, even if we saw a miss on CPI expectations, the RBA could still likely to hike rates before the end of the year.
Key Quotes
"Australian inflation surprised the market to the downside in Q1, with trimmed mean inflation steady at +2.6% y-o-y (market had +2.9%)."
"Today’s outturn was likely weaker than the RBA had factored into their outlook – the central bank had expected underlying inflation to rise further through Q1 and Q2 2014. However, inflation remains in the upper half of the RBA’s target band. And the recent strengthening of the labour market in Australia is likely to put a bit more pressure on domestic costs than the RBA was assuming."
"Overall, we continue to see the RBA’s easing phase as done, and expect the first rate hike could come before the end of the year."
Key Quotes
"Australian inflation surprised the market to the downside in Q1, with trimmed mean inflation steady at +2.6% y-o-y (market had +2.9%)."
"Today’s outturn was likely weaker than the RBA had factored into their outlook – the central bank had expected underlying inflation to rise further through Q1 and Q2 2014. However, inflation remains in the upper half of the RBA’s target band. And the recent strengthening of the labour market in Australia is likely to put a bit more pressure on domestic costs than the RBA was assuming."
"Overall, we continue to see the RBA’s easing phase as done, and expect the first rate hike could come before the end of the year."